France vs Morocco Prediction, Odds & Tips
The 2022 semi-final rematch, and Morocco want revenge. France carry the favourites’ tag and Kylian Mbappe is chasing the Golden Boot. Here is our full preview, odds comparison, prediction, anytime scorer picks and bet builder ideas for Match 97 of the World Cup.
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France vs Morocco Match Overview
Grab the popcorn. The 2022 semi-final gets its rematch, and this time it is a quarter-final with a place in the last four on the line. France against Morocco in Boston pits the tournament favourites against the side that has made a habit of ruining big names’ nights. Beat Morocco once at this stage and they come back hungrier. Whoever loses this goes home a round short of where they were dreaming of.
France have won all five of their games and look every inch the team to beat. Didier Deschamps’ side topped Group I in style, beating Senegal 3–1, Iraq 3–0 and Norway 4–1, then swatted Sweden aside 3–0 in the Round of 32 with Kylian Mbappe scoring twice and Bradley Barcola adding a third. The last-16 win over Paraguay was tighter, a 1–0 grind in Philadelphia settled by Mbappe from the penalty spot. Mbappe now has seven goals, level with Lionel Messi and Erling Haaland at the top of the Golden Boot race, and France carry a firepower nobody else left in the draw can match.
Morocco are the story nobody wants to face. They finished second in Group C behind Brazil, holding the Selecao to a 1–1 draw, edging Scotland 1–0 and beating Haiti 4–2. The Round of 32 tested their nerve: 1–1 with the Netherlands after 90 minutes, then 3–2 on penalties. In the last 16 they were superb, a 3–0 win over Canada in Houston with Azzedine Ounahi grabbing two and Soufiane Rahimi adding a late third. Their goals are spread all over the pitch, Ismael Saibari leads them on three, and there is no single talisman to shut down. These are the 2022 semi-finalists, the first African and Arab nation ever to reach a World Cup semi.
The bookies make France favourites at around 8/11, with Morocco out towards 4/1 and the draw around 5/2. That reflects France’s form and their all-conquering group, but Morocco do not do easy nights. Mohamed Ouahbi, the 49-year-old who took over from Walid Regragui only three months before the tournament on the back of winning the 2025 Under-20 World Cup, has this side grinding out results and defending for their lives. They knocked out the Netherlands on penalties and have the belief to take anyone deep.
The winner of Match 97 goes into the semi-finals (14–15 July) against the winner of Norway v England on the same side of the draw. Level after 90 minutes and it is extra time, then penalties, and given Morocco’s shootout win over the Dutch, do not rule that out.
Predicted Line-Ups
France
Deschamps builds around Kylian Mbappe and his devastating pace, with Bradley Barcola and Michael Olise stretching sides from wide. Their midfield controls games and their attack punishes any gap. Expect France to press the tempo, lean on Mbappe as the penalty taker and focal point, and back their firepower to break Morocco down.
Mbappe the seven-goal Golden Boot co-leader; Barcola the danger from wide.
No France suspensions flagged. Michael Olise was booked against Paraguay. Team news to firm up nearer kick-off.
Morocco
Ouahbi sets Morocco up to defend deep, spring quickly and share the goals around. Achraf Hakimi drives them on from right-back, Azzedine Ounahi and Ismael Saibari chip in from midfield, and Soufiane Rahimi carries a threat up top. No single talisman means no easy player to shut down.
Hakimi the engine; Saibari the man on three goals; Ounahi the last-16 brace hero.
Four Morocco players (Hakimi, Ounahi, El Khannouss, Halhal) sit one booking from a semi-final ban. Team news to firm up nearer kick-off.
Our Prediction
France’s firepower and the Mbappe edge should just about see off a disciplined Morocco, so we are calling 2–0. Morocco will not make it easy, though. They grind results, they beat the Netherlands on penalties, and they can take anyone deep. If you want cover for extra time and a shootout, back France to qualify rather than the 90-minute win. Do not be shocked if this one tightens right up.
France vs Morocco Odds Comparison
Here are indicative 1X2 prices for the 90-minute result. France are favourites on form and firepower, but Morocco’s grit and shootout nerve keep them well in it. Prices move quickly before a knockout, so always check the live number before you stake.
| Bookmaker | France | Draw | Morocco | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway | 8/11 | 5/2 | 4/1 | Bet Now → |
| QuinnBet | 4/5 | 12/5 | 7/2 | Bet Now → |
| Parimatch | 8/11 | 5/2 | 4/1 | Bet Now → |
Odds shown are indicative and were correct at the time of writing. They will drift as team news lands and money comes in. Click through and check the live price in the bookmaker’s app before placing any bet. These are 90-minute (full-time result) prices and do not include extra time or penalties.
Best Bets — France vs Morocco
France to qualify
Morocco took the Netherlands to penalties, so back France “to qualify” and you are covered for extra time and a shootout too. The sensible way to lean on the favourites in a tie Morocco could drag the distance.
Kylian Mbappe anytime
Seven goals, level at the top of the Golden Boot race, and France’s penalty taker. If France break Morocco down, Mbappe is the likeliest name on the scoresheet, and a spot-kick would only help.
France to win to nil / Morocco +1
Morocco’s defensive record is the story of their run, so their goal is well protected. France to win to nil fits our 2–0 call, while a Morocco +1 handicap gives you cover if they keep it tight and stay in the tie.
Under 2.5 goals
Morocco grind games down and defend for their lives. Two of their knockout ties went the distance at 1–1 before penalties. If they frustrate France the way they frustrated the Dutch, under 2.5 goals is a live angle.
Standard match-result and over/under markets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Extra time and penalties do not count unless the market specifically says “to qualify” or “to lift the trophy”. Morocco went to a shootout to beat the Netherlands, so keep that in mind.
Anytime Goalscorer Tips
One attack full of stars, one that shares the load. Here are the verified scorers from the tournament so far:
- Kylian Mbappe (France): seven goals, level at the top of the Golden Boot race, and France’s spot-kick taker. The shortest-priced scorer on the card and the obvious pick.
- Azzedine Ounahi (Morocco): scored twice against Canada in the last 16, the brace hero of Morocco’s Round of 16. A live option if Morocco get forward.
- Ismael Saibari (Morocco): three goals, Morocco’s top scorer, and the man most likely to pop up if they nick one.
- Soufiane Rahimi (Morocco): added the late third against Canada and carries a threat up top. Worth a look at a bigger price.
Anytime goalscorer settles on 90 minutes only. Mbappe is the standout name given his goals and the penalty duties, while Ounahi and Saibari are the value picks if you fancy Morocco to score. Always confirm the starting XI before backing a scorer.
Bet Builder Tips — France vs Morocco
Three same-game builders for the tie. Treat these as ideas rather than gospel. Every leg you add lengthens the odds and shortens your patience.
- France go through in style: France to qualify + Mbappe anytime scorer + over 2.5 goals. For anyone backing the favourites to turn on the firepower.
- The clean-sheet special: France to win to nil + Mbappe anytime scorer. Fits our 2–0 call and Morocco’s habit of keeping games tight.
- Morocco frustrate them: Morocco +1 handicap + under 3.5 goals + Ounahi anytime scorer. For anyone who reckons Morocco grind this into a battle and stay in it.
Bet builder prices vary a fair bit between bookmakers, so shop around. A few of the welcome offers above (Betnero, 7Bet, Matchbook) are built specifically for accumulators and bet builders.
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France at the 2026 World Cup — The Favourites’ Tag Fits
France came into this World Cup among the favourites and have done nothing to change that. Didier Deschamps’ side have won all five of their games and carry a firepower nobody else left in the draw can match. They topped Group I in style, beating Senegal 3–1, Iraq 3–0 and Norway 4–1, before swatting Sweden aside 3–0 in the Round of 32 with Kylian Mbappe scoring twice and Bradley Barcola adding a third.
The last 16 was tighter but no less clinical. A 1–0 win over Paraguay in Philadelphia, settled by Mbappe from the penalty spot, saw France grind out a result when the goals dried up. Mbappe now has seven goals, level with Lionel Messi and Erling Haaland at the top of the Golden Boot race, and he is the man opposition defences lose sleep over.
This Morocco tie is a proper test, the 2022 semi-final rematch against a side that grinds out results and beats big names. But if Deschamps’ side keep their heads and back their quality, they have the tools to control the game and the firepower to win it. Get past Morocco and France will fancy their chances of going all the way. Track the wider picture through our Round of 16 hub, the outright winner odds and the Golden Boot market, where Mbappe leads the way.
Where to Watch France vs Morocco
France vs Morocco kicks off at 9:00pm BST on Thursday 9 July 2026 (4:00pm ET) at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, near Boston, branded Boston Stadium for the tournament. Every World Cup 2026 match is live in the UK on either BBC or ITV, with free streaming on BBC iPlayer and ITVX. Check the latest TV listings closer to kick-off to see which channel has this one.
Level after 90 minutes and the game heads to 30 minutes of extra time, then a penalty shootout if it is still all square. Given Morocco beat the Netherlands on penalties on their way here, do not switch off early. Coverage usually starts around half an hour before kick-off with build-up and team news.
Stats & Form
| Metric | France | Morocco |
|---|---|---|
| Group finish | Group I — 1st | Group C — 2nd (behind Brazil) |
| Group results | W 3–1 Senegal · W 3–0 Iraq · W 4–1 Norway | D 1–1 Brazil · W 1–0 Scotland · W 4–2 Haiti |
| Round of 32 | W 3–0 Sweden | D 1–1 Netherlands (won 3–2 on pens) |
| Round of 16 | W 1–0 Paraguay | W 3–0 Canada |
| Top scorer (tournament) | Kylian Mbappe (7) | Ismael Saibari (3) |
| Manager | Didier Deschamps | Mohamed Ouahbi |
| Pedigree | 2018 world champions, 2022 runners-up | 2022 semi-finalists (first African & Arab nation) |
Results, scorers and records verified against FIFA.com, ESPN, Sky Sports and Al Jazeera, correct to 7 July 2026. France beat Morocco 2–0 in the 2022 World Cup semi-final on their way to the final and have never lost to them. This quarter-final is the rematch, with Morocco chasing revenge. Kylian Mbappe leads the Golden Boot race on seven, level with Lionel Messi and Erling Haaland.
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France vs Morocco FAQ
What time does France vs Morocco kick off and where is it played?
Kick-off is 9:00pm BST on Thursday 9 July 2026 (4:00pm ET) at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, near Boston, branded Boston Stadium for the tournament. It is Match 97 of the World Cup, a quarter-final knockout tie.
Who is favourite to win France vs Morocco?
France are favourites, priced around 8/11 for a 90-minute win at the time of writing, with Morocco around 4/1 and the draw about 5/2. France’s firepower and their five wins from five give them the edge, but Morocco grind out results. Odds are indicative, so confirm the live price before betting.
How did France and Morocco reach the quarter-finals?
France won Group I (3–1 v Senegal, 3–0 v Iraq, 4–1 v Norway), beat Sweden 3–0 in the last 32 and edged Paraguay 1–0 in the Round of 16. Morocco finished second in Group C behind Brazil (1–1 v Brazil, 1–0 v Scotland, 4–2 v Haiti), drew 1–1 with the Netherlands and won 3–2 on penalties in the last 32, then beat Canada 3–0 in the Round of 16.
What happens if the match is a draw after 90 minutes?
This is a single-elimination knockout, so there must be a winner. If the score is level after 90 minutes, the tie goes to 30 minutes of extra time. If it is still level, it is decided by a penalty shootout. Standard match-result bets settle on 90 minutes only.
Have France and Morocco met at a World Cup before?
Yes. France beat Morocco 2–0 in the 2022 World Cup semi-final on their way to the final. France have never lost to Morocco, and this quarter-final is the rematch, with Morocco chasing revenge.
What is our prediction for France vs Morocco?
We are calling a 2–0 France win. France’s firepower and Kylian Mbappe should edge a disciplined Morocco, but Morocco grind results and beat the Netherlands on penalties, so it could tighten right up. If you want cover for extra time, back France to qualify. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
