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Written by Ryan Edwards Verified
Betting Expert · Got The Odds
World Cup 2026 · Knockout Betting Tips · Updated 1 July

World Cup 2026 Tips & Predictions

The group stage is done and it is now win or go home. Here is our prediction, best bet and free-bet pick for every remaining Round of 32 tie (1–3 July) and every Round of 16 fixture (4–7 July). Tap any match for the full preview, odds comparison and bet builder tips.

17 knockout ties covered
A pick for every game
UKGC licensed bookmakers only
Updated 1 July 2026 · Ryan Edwards · World Cup 2026 Hub
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World Cup 2026 Knockout Tips

The 48-team group stage is complete and the tournament is down to the straight knockouts. This page covers every remaining Round of 32 tie from Wednesday 1 July to Friday 3 July, then every Round of 16 fixture from Saturday 4 July to Tuesday 7 July, with a prediction, a recommended bet and a free-bet pick for each. Ties are settled by extra time and penalties if level after 90 minutes, so knockout markets like Draw No Bet and to-qualify are worth a look. Each match links to our full preview with odds comparison and bet builder tips.

All kick-off times are UK (BST) and every game is live on BBC or ITV, with iPlayer and ITVX streaming. Odds are approximate and move quickly in the knockouts, so check the live price at one of the bookmakers above before you stake. For the headline England coverage start with our England World Cup guide, and for the tournament-long markets see outright winner odds and top scorer odds.

Round of 32 · Final Ties

1–3 July · 9 games
Wed 1 July 3 games
5pmBBC One
England v DR Congo
Round of 32 · Atlanta · England game
Full preview

England reached the last 32 as one of the tournament’s form sides and start heavy favourites against a DR Congo team that has punched above its weight to get here. Tuchel’s side are built on defensive control and should have too much quality; DR Congo carry a threat on the counter but will see little of the ball. A comfortable England win with a clean sheet is the read. Full line-ups and bet builders in our England vs DR Congo preview.

Our Pick

England Win to Nil
~4/5
9pmBBC/ITV
Belgium v Senegal
Round of 32 · Seattle
Full preview

A genuine last-32 heavyweight. Belgium still carry serious quality in the final third, while Senegal have the athleticism and power to go toe to toe. Both sides can hurt the other, and with a knockout place on the line neither will want to over-commit early. Belgium edge the quality but Senegal are more than capable of dragging this to extra time, so both teams scoring is the standout angle.

Our Pick

Both Teams to Score
~10/11
1amBBC/ITV · Thu
USA v Bosnia & Herzegovina
Round of 32 · Santa Clara
Full preview

Co-hosts USA have the crowd behind them in Santa Clara and the legs to press high. Bosnia, still leaning on Edin Džeko’s know-how, will look to slow the game down and frustrate. Home advantage and energy in midfield make the USA the pick, though Bosnia are awkward opponents who carry a set-piece threat.

Our Pick

USA to Win
~5/6
Thu 2 July 3 games
8pmBBC/ITV
Spain v Austria
Round of 32 · Los Angeles
Full preview

Spain are many people’s pick to win the tournament and have the individual brilliance to break down any block, with Lamine Yamal the standout. Austria are organised and dangerous from set pieces but a clear level below in attack. Spain should control possession and win with a cushion; the margin depends on how early they find the opener.

Our Pick

Spain -1 Asian Handicap
~10/11
12amBBC/ITV · Fri
Portugal v Croatia
Round of 32 · Toronto · Feature game
Full preview

Two of the tournament’s grand old names meet with a place in the last 16 at stake. Portugal have the deeper, quicker squad, while Croatia still have Luka Modrić orchestrating in midfield and the experience to grind out knockout football. Expect a tight, tactical game that could go the distance, and both sides carry enough to get on the scoresheet.

Our Pick

Both Teams to Score
~10/11
4amBBC/ITV · Fri
Switzerland v Algeria
Round of 32 · Vancouver
Full preview

A tie between two well-drilled, defence-first sides. Switzerland are typically hard to beat in tournament football, and Algeria have the individual quality to nick a goal on the counter. Neither tends to throw caution to the wind in a knockout, so a cagey, low-scoring affair that could edge towards extra time looks the likeliest outcome.

Our Pick

Under 2.5 Goals
~10/11
Fri 3 July 3 games
7pmBBC/ITV
Australia v Egypt
Round of 32 · Dallas
Full preview

Egypt, driven by Mohamed Salah, start narrow favourites against an Australia side that is organised, fit and hard to break down. The Socceroos will sit deep and make Egypt work for it, so patience is the theme. Salah is the obvious route into the goals for the side likely to force the issue.

Our Pick

Salah Anytime Scorer
~Evens
11pmBBC/ITV
Argentina v Cape Verde
Round of 32 · Miami · Feature game
Full preview

The holders against the fairytale. Argentina, with Lionel Messi in what is surely his final World Cup, have far too much for tournament debutants Cape Verde, who have already exceeded every expectation just by reaching the knockouts. Argentina to win comfortably and manage minutes ahead of the last 16 — back them with a goal cushion rather than a heavy handicap.

Our Pick

Argentina -1.5 Asian Handicap
~10/11
2:30amBBC/ITV · Sat
Colombia v Ghana
Round of 32 · Kansas City
Full preview

Colombia, built around the creativity of James Rodríguez and the pace of Luis Díaz, are strong favourites against a Ghana side that will compete but is short of the same quality in the final third. Colombia’s edge in class should tell in a game they are expected to control.

Our Pick

Colombia to Win
~4/5

Round of 16

4–7 July · 8 games

Three last-16 ties are already locked in; the rest are confirmed as the Round of 32 completes on 1–3 July. Provisional ties below carry our early lean and get a full pick the moment the teams are set.

Sat 4 July 2 games
6pmBBC/ITV
Canada v Morocco
Round of 16 · Houston
Full preview

The first Round of 16 tie, and a tough draw for the co-hosts. Morocco, semi-finalists in 2022, knocked out the Netherlands on penalties and are the most complete side left in this half of the bracket. Canada have the home crowd and pace in behind, but Morocco’s control and knockout nous make them favourites. Expect a tight, low-scoring game with little between them.

Our Pick

Under 2.5 Goals
~10/11
10pmBBC/ITV
Paraguay v France
Round of 16 · Philadelphia · Feature game
Full preview

France booked their place with a ruthless 3-0 win over Sweden and look ominous, with Kylian Mbappé among the Golden Boot favourites. Paraguay have been the story of this side of the bracket after stunning Germany on penalties, but they ride their luck and sit deep. Les Bleus have far too much firepower and should win inside 90 minutes, even if Paraguay make them wait for the opener.

Our Pick

France to Win
~4/6
Sun 5 July 2 games
9pmBBC/ITV
Brazil v Norway
Round of 16 · MetLife, New Jersey · Feature game
Full preview

A blockbuster last-16 tie. Brazil eased past Japan and carry the tournament’s deepest attacking talent, while Norway, powered by Erling Haaland, edged Ivory Coast to reach this stage. Two sides who want to attack should make for an open game, and Haaland gives Norway a puncher’s chance against anyone. Goals at both ends look the play.

Our Pick

Both Teams to Score
~10/11
1amBBC/ITV · Mon
Mexico v England / DR Congo winner
Round of 16 · Estadio Azteca · Confirmed after 1 July

Co-hosts Mexico close the weekend at the iconic Estadio Azteca, where altitude and a fervent home crowd are a genuine weapon. Their opponent is the winner of England v DR Congo — most likely England, who would start favourites but find the Azteca a serious test. Our early lean is that Mexico at home are underrated here; a Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Mexico holds appeal. Full pick published once the tie is confirmed on 1 July.

Provisional

Lean: Mexico Double Chance
TBC
Mon 6 July 2 games
8pmBBC/ITV
Winner Por/Cro v Winner Spa/Aut
Round of 16 · Dallas · Confirmed after 2 July

A potential last-16 heavyweight in Dallas. The Portugal/Croatia winner meets the Spain/Austria winner, and on current form a Spain v Portugal blockbuster is the likeliest outcome. If that lands, Spain would rate slight favourites against a Portugal side missing nothing in attack. We will confirm the tie and our pick once the Round of 32 completes on 2 July.

Provisional

Locked after Round of 32
TBC
10pmBBC/ITV
Winner USA/Bos v Winner Bel/Sen
Round of 16 · Seattle · Confirmed after 1 July

The USA/Bosnia winner faces the Belgium/Senegal winner in Seattle, a tie that could hand the co-hosts a very winnable route to the quarter-finals if the USA come through. Both feeder ties are played on 1 July, so this one is confirmed early — full pick to follow the moment both are settled.

Provisional

Locked after 1 July
TBC
Tue 7 July 2 games
5pmBBC/ITV
Winner Arg/CpV v Winner Aus/Egy
Round of 16 · Atlanta · Confirmed after 3 July

The holders’ likely route. The Argentina/Cape Verde winner meets the Australia/Egypt winner, with an Argentina v Egypt tie the strong probability. Argentina would start clear favourites, though Egypt with Salah always carry a threat. Confirmed once both feeder ties are played on 3 July.

Provisional

Locked after Round of 32
TBC
9pmBBC/ITV
Winner Sui/Alg v Winner Col/Gha
Round of 16 · Vancouver · Confirmed after 3 July

The Switzerland/Algeria winner meets the Colombia/Ghana winner in Vancouver, one of the more open ties in the bracket with no obvious heavyweight. Colombia are the highest-rated side across the four and would fancy their route through. Full pick once the Round of 32 completes on 3 July.

Provisional

Locked after Round of 32
TBC

Acca of the Week

Our four-fold from this week’s knockout ties, built from short-priced favourites in winnable spots rather than long-odds punts. Every leg is a confirmed fixture. As always, check the live price and consider it for a welcome free bet.

Knockout Four-Fold ~4/1
England to beat DR CongoRound of 32 · Wed 1 July
1/3
Spain to beat AustriaRound of 32 · Thu 2 July
2/5
Portugal to beat CroatiaRound of 32 · Thu 2 July
4/5
France to beat ParaguayRound of 16 · Sat 4 July
1/2

Odds approximate and subject to change. Combining four short-priced favourites lifts the return towards 4/1 while keeping the risk profile sensible. For more multi-leg ideas see our World Cup accumulator tips and bet builder tips.

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World Cup 2026 Outright Markets

Beyond the match-by-match tips, the tournament-long markets are where a lot of the value sits early in the group stage. Here are the outright and special markets we cover in depth, each with its own analysis and latest odds.

Chasing a specific player market? We track the headline names in detail: Harry Kane top scorer odds, Erling Haaland goals markets and Lamine Yamal young player odds. For tournament context, our opening match recap and altitude betting guide are worth a read before backing games in Mexico City and Guadalajara.

Round of 32 Fixtures & Results

FIFA
🏆
World Cup
2026
Knockout Stage · The Last 32

Round of 32 Fixtures

All 16 ties · 28 June – 4 July 2026 · win or go home, extra time & penalties if level. Winners advance to the Round of 16.
Sunday 28 June 2026Completed
FT
Last 32 · Los Angeles
South Africa0-1Canada
Monday 29 June 2026Completed
FT
Last 32 · Houston
Brazil2-1Japan
FT
Last 32 · Boston
Germany1-1 (3-4p)Paraguay
Tuesday 30 June 2026Completed
FT
Last 32 · Monterrey
Netherlands1-1 (2-3p)Morocco
FT
Last 32 · Dallas
Ivory Coast1-2Norway
FT
Last 32 · New York
France3-0Sweden
Wednesday 1 July 2026Completed
FT
Last 32 · Mexico City
Mexico2-0Ecuador
FT
Last 32 · Atlanta
England2-1DR Congo
FT
Last 32 · Seattle
Belgium3-2Senegal
Today — Thursday 2 July 2026Live Now
FT
Last 32 · San Francisco
USA2-0Bosnia-Herz.
20:00 BST
Last 32 · Los Angeles
SpainvsAustria
Friday 3 July 2026
00:00 BST
Last 32 · Toronto
PortugalvsCroatia
04:00 BST
Last 32 · Vancouver
SwitzerlandvsAlgeria
19:00 BST
Last 32 · Dallas
AustraliavsEgypt
23:00 BST
Last 32 · Miami
ArgentinavsCape Verde
Saturday 4 July 2026
02:30 BST
Last 32 · Kansas City
ColombiavsGhana

World Cup Betting Guides

New to tournament betting or after a specific market? These guides explain how each bet type works and where the value tends to sit at a World Cup.

How We Make Our Tips

Every pick on this page comes from the same process. We start with the team news — confirmed line-ups, injuries and suspensions — then weigh recent form, tournament context (whether a side has already qualified or needs a result) and the specific match-up between the two teams. Only then do we look at the odds to find where the bookmakers’ price and our own read diverge.

We favour bets with a clear rationale over long-odds punts. A short-priced favourite in a winnable spot, a defensive side likely to keep a game low-scoring, or a star striker against weak opposition — these are the angles that hold up over a tournament. We flag the reasoning in each verdict so you can judge it yourself rather than just copying a selection.

Odds move quickly during a World Cup, so treat every price here as a guide and confirm the live number before you stake. We never recommend betting more than you can comfortably afford to lose, and we only link to UK Gambling Commission licensed bookmakers. Our tips are written by Ryan Edwards, with player and market analysis from the wider Got The Odds team.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the best World Cup 2026 knockout bets this week?

Our standout knockout picks include England to beat DR Congo to nil, Argentina on the -1.5 handicap against Cape Verde, and France to see off Paraguay in the last 16. Our knockout four-fold combines four short-priced favourites for around 4/1. See each fixture above for the full reasoning.

When is the World Cup 2026 Round of 16 and who has qualified?

The Round of 16 runs from 4 to 7 July. Canada, Morocco, Brazil, Norway, Paraguay, France and Mexico have already booked their places, with the remaining last-16 spots decided by the Round of 32 ties on 1–3 July. See our Round of 32 bracket for the full picture.

Where can I get a free bet for the World Cup knockouts?

Several UK bookmakers offer welcome free bets for new customers, including Betway’s Bet £10 Get £40. See our World Cup offers page for the full list and terms. You can use a free bet on any of the picks on this page.

What time are the World Cup 2026 knockout games in the UK?

Kick-offs range from around 5pm to 2:30am UK time across the Round of 32, as matches are played across US, Canadian and Mexican time zones. Every game is live on BBC or ITV, with BBC iPlayer and ITVX streaming. Each fixture above shows its UK (BST) kick-off time.

Who are the favourites to win the World Cup 2026 now?

Spain, Argentina, France, Brazil and England head the outright market after Germany and the Netherlands were both knocked out in the Round of 32. For the latest prices and our analysis, see our World Cup winner odds page.

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