Backing a goalscorer is the bet that turns a neutral match into 90 minutes of leaning forward every time your player gets the ball. The two main markets are first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer, and punters mix them up constantly. One pays big but asks a lot; the other pays less but lands far more often. This guide compares how each settles, the dead-heat rule that catches people out, the related markets worth knowing, and which one is the better bet depending on what you are after.
Key takeaways
- First goalscorer needs your player to score the match’s opening goal.
- Anytime goalscorer wins if your player scores at any point in the game.
- First goalscorer pays far more but has a much lower strike rate.
- Dead-heat rules can cut your returns when two players tie a market.
- Anytime is the steadier bet; first goalscorer is the value swing.
How each market works
First goalscorer needs your player to score the first goal of the match. If anyone else scores first, the bet is dead, no matter how many your player bags afterwards. Most bookmakers void first goalscorer bets if your player comes on after the opening goal has been scored, refunding the stake, since the player never had a chance at the opener.
Anytime goalscorer wins if your player scores at any time in normal time, first, last or anywhere between. It does not matter when or how many; one goal settles it as a winner. Own goals do not count for either market.
The strike-rate gap is large. A striker might be 3/1 anytime and 8/1 first, because scoring the very first goal of the match is a much narrower target than scoring at all. Roughly speaking, first goalscorer asks your player to both score and do it before anyone else on either team, which is why the price is several times bigger.
The related goalscorer markets
First and anytime are the headliners, but the goalscorer family is wider, and the extras are worth knowing:
- Last goalscorer: your player scores the final goal of the match. Like first goalscorer, it pays a bigger price than anytime, but it cannot be predicted from team news the way first can, so it is closer to a pure punt.
- To score 2 or more: your player to bag a brace. Bigger odds than anytime, suited to a prolific striker against a weak defence.
- To score a hat-trick: three or more, a long-odds bet for a standout forward in a likely mismatch.
- Player shots / shots on target: over a line of attempts, a useful alternative when you fancy a player to be busy without backing him to score.
These let you tune the risk: anytime for steady, two-or-more for a striker you expect to dominate, last goalscorer for a swing.
Dead-heat rules
This is the rule that surprises people. In markets like first goalscorer, if two players are tied as the result, your returns are divided. The classic case is two goals before half-time settled for first scorer purposes, but the common dead-heat scenario is the top goalscorer outright market at the end of a tournament, where several players finish level on goals.
The maths: your stake is paid at the full odds but on a reduced stake, split by the number who tie. Back a player at 10.0 with a £10 stake and two players dead-heat, and you are paid as a £5 bet at 10.0, not £10. With three players tied, you are paid as a £3.33 bet. Knowing this stops a “winning” bet feeling like a loss when the payout lands. It matters most for the World Cup top scorer market, where ties for the Golden Boot are common, sometimes settled further by assists or minutes played depending on the official rules and the bookmaker’s terms.
The value comparison
Neither market is better in the abstract; they answer different questions.
- First goalscorer is the high-variance play. The price is generous, but you need a specific, narrow event. Use it when you have a strong read on who opens the scoring, such as a penalty-taking striker against a side that concedes early.
- Anytime goalscorer is the percentage play. Lower odds, but a far higher hit rate, and it stays live for the whole match. Use it when you simply fancy a player to get on the scoresheet.
Convert both prices with our odds converter to see the implied chance, then weigh it against how often your player actually scores. A useful rule of thumb: if you are unsure who will open the scoring but confident a player will score at some point, anytime is the disciplined choice. Save first goalscorer for when you have a genuine read on the opener.
The stats to check
- Minutes per goal and shots per game for your player. High-volume forwards who shoot often make better anytime picks.
- Penalty and set-piece duty. The designated penalty-taker is a strong first-goalscorer angle, since a converted early penalty often opens the scoring.
- Position and role. An advanced striker is a stronger anytime bet than a deep-lying playmaker, even a more famous one.
- Opposition. A leaky defence that concedes early lifts the first-goalscorer case; the same numbers that drive a BTTS read apply here.
- Likely minutes. A player rotated or used as a substitute is a weaker bet for both markets, and a confirmed start is worth waiting for.
Worked example
Say a striker is 3/1 (4.0) anytime and 8/1 (9.0) first, with a £10 stake.
- Anytime: he scores in the 70th minute. You win £30 profit. The first-goal bet lost long ago, when the opposition scored the opener in the 20th.
- First: he scores the opener. You win £80 profit, nearly three times the anytime return, for hitting the harder target.
Same player, same match, very different risk. The anytime bet would have won in both cases above; the first-goalscorer bet only in the second. That is the trade-off in a nutshell: anytime forgives a slow start, first goalscorer does not.
Goalscorer bets in a builder
Goalscorer markets are a natural bet-builder leg, and bookmakers offer dedicated combinations:
- Scorecast: a player to score and the correct final score, a big-odds combination.
- Wincast: a player to score and a team to win, more forgiving than scorecast.
- Anytime scorer + over goals: a coherent pairing when you expect an open, high-scoring game.
The cleanest builders keep the story consistent: an anytime scorer from the favourite, plus that favourite to win and the match to go over a goals line, all rest on the same read. Our bet builder guide covers picking legs that reinforce each other.
Where to bet it
Goalscorer prices and dead-heat terms vary between bookmakers, and some price first goalscorer more keenly than others. The place terms on top-scorer outrights also differ, which matters for the Golden Boot market. Our bookmaker reviews flag the sites with the best goalscorer markets, and the World Cup 2026 hub tracks our angles on the tournament’s scorers.
Pick the market that fits your conviction: anytime for steady, first for the swing, two-or-more when you expect a striker to feast. Keep stakes sensible, and if betting stops being fun, our responsible gambling tools can help.
Frequently asked questions
Is anytime or first goalscorer better?
Anytime goalscorer wins far more often at shorter odds and stays live all match, making it the steadier bet. First goalscorer pays much more but needs your player to score the opening goal, so it suits a strong, specific read. Pick by whether you want consistency or value.
What happens to a first goalscorer bet if my player is a substitute?
If the first goal is scored before your player comes on, most bookmakers void the bet and refund your stake. If your player is on the pitch and scores the opener, the bet wins as normal.
How do dead-heat rules affect goalscorer bets?
When two or more selections tie a result, such as several players finishing level in a top scorer market, your stake is divided by the number tied and paid at full odds on the reduced amount. A £10 bet with two players tied is paid as a £5 bet at the full price.
Do own goals count for goalscorer bets?
No. Own goals do not count for either first or anytime goalscorer markets. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, first goalscorer bets usually stand and are settled on the first genuine goalscorer.
What is the difference between a scorecast and a wincast?
A scorecast combines a player to score with the correct final score, paying big odds for the precise call. A wincast combines a player to score with a team to win, which is more forgiving and shorter-priced because it does not require the exact scoreline.
Which goalscorer bet is best for the World Cup Golden Boot?
The Golden Boot is a top goalscorer outright, best backed each-way on bigger fields so you collect if your pick finishes in the places. Watch the dead-heat and place terms, as ties for the award are common and can reduce returns.


